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Fall weather forecast for Lakeland

Prepare for fall weather in Lakeland, Florida with these seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks.

LAL-downtown-kentucky-ave-lakeland-walfaro30-SEPT2022.jpeg

We can’t wait for autumn in Lakeland.

Photo by @walfaro30

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We know the question on your mind, Lakelanders — when’s it going to get cooler? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for September, October, and November.

While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what fall weather will bring.

Reminder: Fall starts on Monday, Sept. 22.

A US map showing a seasonal temperature outlook from September to November 2025, with warmer-than-normal temperatures expected.

Expect a warmer-than-usual autumn.

Map via NOAA

Temperature

Think warm. This fall, Lakeland has a 50-60% chance of temperatures being higher than normal, the same as last year’s probability.

Precipitation

Expect slightly more precipitation. Lakeland has a 40-50% chance of seeing above-average rainfall amounts this fall.

Drought

The Lakeland area is not expected to have any drought conditions this season.

Fluffy baby cow on Cow Creek Farm in Plant City, FL

Fall in Lakeland wouldn’t be the same without a stop by Cow Creek Farms.

Photo by @cowcreekfarm

Still sweating into September

Typically in Lakeland, September’s temperatures fluctuate between an average low of 73° and an average high of 88°, but the heat index can still feel as hot as 105º. Keep your umbrellas close this month — hurricane season peaks around mid-September.

Optimistic about October

In October, the average temps are between a low of 67° and a high of 83°. You’ll most likely still feel nice and warm while you walk through the Lakeland Downtown Farmers Curb Market or stand in line at Born & Bread Bakehouse, but on the bright side, Lakeland in October is known for its gentle breeze.

No fear November

Average highs in November drop to 77° while the lows dip into the high 50s with an average of 59°. This month is also known for some of the lowest average rainfall days throughout the year. Daylight saving time ends on Sunday, Nov. 2, so we’ll have less sunshine each day leading up to Thanksgiving.

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