Fall 2023 weather forecast for Lakeland

Prepare for fall weather in Lakeland, Florida with these seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks.


We can’t wait for autumn in Lakeland.

Photo by @walfaro30

We know the question on your mind, Lakelanders — when’s it going to get cooler? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for September, October, and November.

While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what fall will bring.

Reminder: The first day of fall is Saturday, Sept. 23, 2023.

Maps show predictions for this fall's temperatures and precipitation.

We’re expecting higher-than-normal temperatures and precipitation this season.

Maps via the NOAA


Think warm. This fall, Lakeland has a 40-50% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.


Expect slightly more precipitation. Lakeland has a 33-40% chance of seeing higher-than-average rainfall amounts this fall.


The Lakeland area is not expected to have any drought conditions this season.

Fluffy baby cow on Cow Creek Farm in Plant City, FL

Fall in Lakeland wouldn’t be the same without a stop by Cow Creek Farms.

Photo by @cowcreekfarm

Still sweating into September

Typically in Lakeland, September’s temperatures fluctuate between an average low of 73° and an average high of 89°, but this September, you can expect to see more 90+° days through the first half of the month. If you’re excited about cooler temperatures, look forward to September 21, when average high temperatures will begin to settle into the high 80s.

Optimistic about October

In October, the average high and low temps are between 84° and 67°. You’ll most likely still feel nice and warm while you walk through the Lakeland Downtown Farmers Curb Market or stand in line at Born & Bread Bakehouse, but on the bright side, Lakeland in October is known for its gentle breeze.

No fear November

Average highs in November drop a few degrees to 78°. The lows dip into the high 50s with an average of 59°. November is the driest month in Lakeland. On average, there’s only 1.6 inches of precipitation leading up to Thanksgiving.

More from LALtoday